Bull Run vs Bear Run
BlockchainBeginner
2024-08-21
Looks like 2024 is shaping up to be a bullish year for a few cryptocurrency coins! While we explored that in our previous article, today’s topic delves a little deeper on the lexicon behind it. When trading, the terms “bull run” and “bear run” frequently come up. These terms are essential for traders and investors to understand market trends and make informed decisions. Here’s a comprehensive look at the differences between a bull run and a bear run in the context of cryptocurrency trading.
What is a Bull Run?
A bull run in the cryptocurrency market refers to a period where prices are rising consistently. This phase is characterized by widespread optimism, increased buying activity, and a general sense that prices will continue to climb. Here are some key features of a bull run:
Rising Prices
The most obvious sign of a bull run is a sustained increase in cryptocurrency prices. For instance, Bitcoin or Ethereum might see their values doubling or tripling over a few months. When you see that happening, you are now on alert that these coins are experiencing a bull run!
High Trading Volumes
During a bull run, trading volumes typically increase significantly as more investors enter the market, eager to capitalize on rising prices. This is an exciting time for new buyers as well as old, as the general collective are growing keen about cryptocurrency.
Positive Sentiment
Investor sentiment during a bull run is overwhelmingly positive. News media, social media, and market analysts often contribute to this optimism, predicting further growth and encouraging more investment. Of course, this also includes our favourite form of sentiments — memes!
Increased Participation
Bull runs often attract new participants to the market, including retail investors, institutional investors, and even first-time traders who do not want to miss out on potential profits. Therefore, this is the peak time to get new participants into the benefits of cryptocurrency. Make sure to let them know that much like all investments, education is vital in order to make informed decisions.
Speculative Investments
During a bull run, speculative investments surge as traders take on more risk, hoping to benefit from the upward momentum. This can lead to inflated prices and the formation of bubbles. While this does not happen all the time, it is something worth taking note of.
What is a Bear Run?
Conversely, a bear run, or bear market, is a period where cryptocurrency prices are falling consistently. This phase is marked by widespread pessimism, increased selling activity, and a general expectation that prices will continue to decline. Here are some key features of a bear run:
Falling Prices
The defining characteristic of a bear run is a sustained decrease in cryptocurrency prices. For example, let’s say that Bitcoin may lose 50% of its value over a few months. When a coin that has been performing as well as Bitcoin can experience a dip that severe, it is a key sign that a bear run has begun.
Low Trading Volumes
Trading volumes usually decrease during a bear run as investors become cautious and many exit the market to avoid further losses. It is not uncommon to see less and less investors, or even chatter about it.
Negative Sentiment
Investor sentiment during a bear run is generally negative. Media coverage often highlights market losses, regulatory concerns, and other factors that could exacerbate the downturn. Trolls are rampant during this time too, so keep that in mind and don’t let it get to you.
Reduced Participation
When the times are bad, they can feel pretty low. Bear runs often bring out the worst in people, so we tend to see a reduction in market participation. Retail investors, in particular, may pull out of the market, preferring to wait until conditions improve. It is important to remember that most of these investors come from traditional trading backgrounds, and will run at the first sign of loss. However, you should not take it to heart, as a lot of them still do not understand how volatile the cryptocurrency market is and do not ultimately have the stomach for it.
Conservative Investments
During a bear run, we can also see investors typically become more conservative. During this time, they will be focusing on preserving capital instead of seeking high returns. This behaviour can lead to increased interest in stablecoins or other less volatile assets.
Key Differences Between Bear Run & Bull Run
So now that you have all the traits about bull and bear runs, it’s time to understand what sets them apart. Both these concepts have traits that intersect with each other, therefore it is important to not get them confused with each other. Understanding the differences between bull runs and bear runs is crucial, especially for navigating the cryptocurrency market!
Market Direction
If you thought an animal was the biggest difference, you were half right. In actuality, the primary difference between a bull run and a bear run is the direction of the market. Bull runs are characterized by rising prices, while bear runs involve falling prices.
Investor Behavior
Investors behave in complete opposites during these periods. In bull runs, investors are eager to buy and hold assets, are always excited and adapting a positive attitude. This is because during a bull run, there is an expectation of the prices to continue rising. However, things take a turn during bear runs. In bear runs, the focus shifts to selling or holding off on buying, somewhat rude and cold attitudes, which all anticipate further declines to new offers.
Market Sentiment
Much like the investors, the media too tends to be in opposite directions during a bull and bear run. Positive sentiment and optimism drive bull runs, while negative sentiment and pessimism dominate bear runs.
Risk Tolerance
During bull runs, investors tend to take on more risk, often leading to speculative bubbles. In bear runs, risk aversion prevails, with investors seeking to minimize potential losses.
Strategies for Navigating Bull and Bear Runs
For traders and investors, different strategies are suitable for bull and bear markets. After all, both markets are possible to navigate with the right tools. We would suggest familiarising yourself with the factors and the characteristics of each market first. After that, it's time to head in with the big guns. Here are a couple of suggested strategies from us at Toobit for all of you investors navigating the cryptocurrency markets in 2024:
What You Can Do During A Bull Run Market
We've gathered a few of the most famous strategies that every trader should equip themselves with before heading into a bull run market! Check them out below:
HODLing
What do you meme? Well, the famous “HODL” meme actually originates from the phrase “hold”, to no one's surprise. It refers to traders holding on to their assets despite the worst of markets. While typical traders may sell ASAP the moment they sense loss coming, but HODLers have far thicker skin and are keen on playing the long game. Holding onto assets for the long term has its own benefit, to capitalise from overall market growth.
Momentum Trading
Another famous trading tactic, momentum trading is nothing new to the trading game either. This particular tactic involves buying assets showing strong upward momentum at first, and selling them before a potential reversal. This tactic involves a lot of trend research, as it depends on the popularity and current news revolving the assets. For those who wish to use this method, make sure you have all your facts!
Diversification
No trader should ever put all their eggs in the same basket. Diversifying your investments is one of the best things you can do as an investor. By spreading investments across multiple assets, not only do you get to mitigate risk and handle losses on a far smaller scale, but you get to do it while capitalizing on overall market gains.
What You Can Do During A Bear Run Market
Short Selling
Short selling is a method of trading that has made the headlines a couple of times before. It is the act of borrowing assets to sell them at the current price, with the aim of buying them back at a lower price. However, don’t just go about this method…make sure to read up on the Gamestop Short Squeeze as a precation!
Stablecoins
Cryptocurrencies volatility is infamous and a bitter pill that most of us are very willing to swallow. However, at times there is no denying that it’s going to get worse before it gets better. There is no need to have even greater losses during this period, so it’s best to just convert all assets to stablecoins instead. Stablecoins (USDT, USCD) unlike regular cryptocurrencies, are tied to a fiat currency and have governmental support in order to preserve value during market downturns.
Cost Averaging
Slow and steady wins the race, and that statement could not be more true when it comes to cryptocurrency. An underrated method (as it takes up a great amount of patience and time) is to invest with the cost averaging method. This way, users gradually invest fixed amounts over time in order to reduce the impact of market volatility. However, with this method, reaping of the profits will take up to several years.
Closing Thoughts
Overall, both bull runs and bear runs are integral parts of the cryptocurrency market cycle. Understanding their characteristics and differences is essential for making informed trading decisions. By recognizing the signs and adapting strategies accordingly, traders can better navigate the ups and downs of this volatile market. We at Toobit hope that whether riding the wave of a bull run or weathering the storm of a bear run, a well-informed trader can find opportunities and manage risks effectively.
Disclaimer: This article is presented for general information and educational purposes only. It is not a representation or warranty of any kind. It should NOT be construed as financial, legal or other professional advice, nor is it intended to recommend the purchase of any specific product or service. Users should seek their own advice from appropriate professional advisors. Digital asset prices can be volatile and the value of an investment may go down or up. All users are solely responsible for their own investment decisions and Toobit Academy is not liable for any losses that may incur. This material on Toobit Academy should not be construed as financial, legal or other professional advice.